La bombe "A" bientôt lâchée sur Israël? Mais elle n'est pas iranienne.

Israel will face condemnation. It will have to endure more tub-thumbing at international forums. It may face charges of racism, and be labelled an apartheid regime. That may make the Palestinians feel better, reinforcing a victim mentality.

Alors que toute notre attention est focalisée sur Dieudonné, Soral, Joe le Corbeau, l'ONG Oxfam et sa politique de démonisation d'Israël mise en évidence grâce à l'actrice américaine Scarlett Johansson, les amours du fils de M. Benjamin Nétanyahou avec une jeune norvégienne etc etc, un sinistre scénario politique - merci l'Europe - se met implacablement en place. Sam Kiley décrit ce scénario dans le Spectator (Israel's other A-bomb.It's not only Iran that threatens the Jewish state). Il rappelle que la direction palestinienne est inondée d'aide et est largement irresponsable, lâche et corrompue. Il est impossible de la voir faire des concessions historiques qu'exigerait l'accession à un Etat. Les dirigeants palestiniens attendent patiemment qu'on fasse porter à Israël toute la responsabilité de l'échec des négociations - et l'arme c'est le prétendu A = apartheid qu'Israël pratiquerait.  L'article de Sam Kiley est remarquable car il traduit bien la complexité de la situation et mérite d'être lu en entier - on peut néanmoins regretter que l'incitation à l'haine des Juifs et d'Israël pratiquée par l'AP n'ait pas été évoquée.  Extraits:

Some day soon, the foreign minister of a major ally may decide to drop an A-bomb on Israel. William Hague and John Kerry have each pointedly left the option open. And Jimmy Carter, of course, has already done it.  This A-bomb isn’t a literal bomb, cooked up beneath the deserts of Iran, but it could be almost as great a threat to the longevity of the Jewish state. This A-bomb is the word apartheid.  

Hague is the one who’s sounded the loudest warnings. He has repeatedly insisted that if there isn’t a deal this year that establishes an independent Palestinian state, then Israel’s own future as a both a Jewish state and a democracy is in doubt. If there’s no two-state solution, then Israel will face international isolation as a pariah state that denies rights to up to 2.5 million Arabs. The Foreign Secretary believes Israel has just a few months to negotiate the creation of a Palestinian state before the A-bomb is dropped. [...]

[...] failure of the Palestinians to grab their opportunities under the left-leaning governments of Ehud Barak and Ehud Olmert.

The foreign aid-drenched Palestinian leadership is largely feckless, cowardly and corrupt. It’s impossible to see it making the historic concessions statehood would require. Instead it is sitting back waiting for Israel to get the blame for letting hope of a two-state solution die. [Voir: Palestine, l'eldorado de la corruption et des ONG occidentales et "La Palestine est le secret le mieux gardé de l'industrie de l'aide"]

If that happens, Israel will indeed pay a price. Already the European Union has signalled that it may impose sanctions on Israeli products manufactured in settlements, and ruled that settlers cannot receive grants through Horizon 2020, a multi-billion-pound scientific co-operation agreement. If the April deadline passes without a resolution, more sanctions may follow. Israel will face condemnation. It will have to endure more tub-thumbing at international forums. It may face charges of racism, and be labelled an apartheid regime. That may make the Palestinians feel better, reinforcing a victim mentality.

But isolation and grandstanding won’t create a Palestinian state; in fact, they may only strengthen the fortress mentality of the Israeli right.

The most worrying thing about the international community’s A-bomb is that it could be dropped and prove to be a damp squib.

Sam Kiley is foreign affairs editor of Sky News.

This article first appeared in the print edition of The Spectator magazine, dated 1 February 2014